- From:the Guidelines grid.
- Inputs:severity + history score.
- Default:absent a departure.
- Possible:departures with reasons.
The presumptive sentence is the outcome the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines recommend for a felony — found by locating where the offense's severity level meets the defendant's criminal history score on the grid. It sets both the recommended disposition (probation or prison) and the recommended length. Courts are expected to follow it unless there are substantial and compelling reasons to depart. Understanding how the grid produces this number is key to understanding what a felony case is really facing. Here's how it works.
Where the Grid Number Comes From
The Guidelines grid has two axes: the severity level of the offense (how serious the crime is ranked) and the criminal history score (the defendant's relevant prior record). Each cell of the grid where they intersect contains the presumptive sentence for that combination — a recommended disposition and a duration (often a range with a midpoint).
What this means for you: Two facts — the offense's severity ranking and your history score — largely determine the starting-point sentence. Everything else in sentencing argues up or down from that cell.
Disposition: Stay vs. Commit
One of the most important features of the grid is the line between a presumptive stay and a presumptive commit:
- Presumptive stay — the recommended sentence is a stayed prison term, meaning probation rather than immediate prison, if conditions are met;
- Presumptive commit — the recommended sentence is an executed prison term.
Cells below and to the left of the line are typically presumptive stays; cells above and to the right are presumptive commits. Moving across that line — often by just a level or a history point — changes the entire nature of the sentence.
What this means for you: Whether your cell falls on the stay side or the commit side is frequently the single most important question in a felony case.
Duration: The Recommended Length
Within each cell, the Guidelines give a presumptive duration — usually a midpoint with a permissible range around it. For executed sentences, this sets the recommended prison term; for stayed sentences, it sets the term that hangs over the defendant during probation. Staying within the range is presumptively appropriate; going outside it generally requires a departure.
When the Court Can Deviate
The presumptive sentence is the strong default, but not absolute. A court can impose an upward or downward departure — in disposition or duration — when there are substantial and compelling circumstances. Departures are the exception and must be justified on the record.
What this means for you: The presumptive sentence is the baseline, and a major part of sentencing advocacy is either keeping a case within a favorable cell or making the case for a departure.
Sentences That Sit Outside the Grid
Some sentencing factors operate alongside or on top of the grid — mandatory minimums set by statute, conditional release terms for certain offenses, and rules for concurrent versus consecutive sentencing when there are multiple counts. The grid is the core, but these can modify the real-world result.
Updated May 18, 2026 · Law verified as of June 17, 2026. This article is general information about Minnesota law, not legal advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a presumptive sentence?
It is the sentence the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines recommend for a felony, found where the offense's severity level meets the defendant's criminal history score on the grid. It sets a recommended disposition and duration.
What's the difference between a presumptive stay and a presumptive commit?
A presumptive stay recommends probation (a stayed prison term), while a presumptive commit recommends an executed prison sentence. The line between them is often the most important issue in a felony case.
Does the judge have to follow the presumptive sentence?
It's the strong default. A judge can depart upward or downward only with substantial and compelling reasons stated on the record; otherwise the presumptive sentence applies.
How is the duration set?
Each grid cell provides a presumptive duration, usually a midpoint with a permissible range. Sentencing within the range is presumptively appropriate; going outside it generally requires a departure.
Can a sentence be higher than the grid suggests?
Yes — through an upward departure, or because of factors outside the grid like mandatory minimums or consecutive sentencing rules. These can change the real-world outcome.
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Read the guideThe information on this article is for general informational purposes only and is not legal advice. Reading this article does not create an attorney-client relationship.